Community Health Systems, Inc.

Community Health Systems is one of the largest U.S. domestic hospital organizations. Overall, the general medical and surgical hospital space is an industry characterized with modest financial stress. However, Community Health Systems’ FRISK® score currently trends at the worst risk category of “1,” indicating severe financial risk. In fact, a score of “1” indicates a probability of bankruptcy between 10 to 50% within the next 12 months.

Community health FRISK image

This High Risk Report will demonstrate important factors that are contributing to Community Health Systems’ poor financial position. For instance, its interest coverage ratio has been persistently low, and ranks in the bottom quartile relative to its peer group. In addition, cumulative trailing twelve month cash flow is also negative. This hospital operator should be carefully monitored if it is your counterparty.

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Our FRISK® score model incorporates four powerful risk inputs:

  • “Merton”-type model of stock market capitalization and volatility
  • Financial ratios, including those used in the Altman Z”-Score Model
  • Bond agency ratings from Fitch, Moody's, and DBRS Morningstar
  • Website click pattern data from CreditRiskMonitor® subscribers, representing key credit decision-makers at more than 35% of current Fortune 1000 companies plus thousands of other large companies worldwide

Since the start of 2017, the FRISK® score’s rate of success in capturing public company bankruptcy is 96%: 235 identified out of 243 bankruptcies. In any given year, you can count on one hand the times we miss – and in those outlier cases, the circumstances deal with unusual, unforeseen events such as natural disasters and CEO fraud.

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About High Risk Reports

Our High Risk Reports feature companies that are exhibiting a significantly high level of financial distress, as indicated by our proprietary FRISK® score.

The reports highlight the factors that have pushed a company's score lower on the "1" (worst) to "10" (best) FRISK® score, which is 96% accurate in predicting bankruptcy over a 12-month period. The High Risk Reports also includes analysis on financial indicators such as the company’s DBT index, stock performance, financial ratios and how it is performing relative to its industry peers.

The ultimate goal of the High Risk Report series is two-part: provide an early warning for those doing business with an increasingly distressed company and inform of the many signals that should be examined when assessing financial risks.