Windstream Holdings, Inc.'s FRISK® score has been trending in the high-risk "red zone" over the last 12 months, an important warning signal for business counterparties. Although the company is attempting to adapt to the changing telecommunications environment, shifting industry dynamics have led to increasing financial distress.
This High Risk Report will display unique aspects of the CreditRiskMonitor service, as well as important risk factors specific to Windstream Holdings. The company has shown weakness across multiple balance sheet metrics, particularly regarding its overall financial leverage. As just one example highlighted within the report, the operator's total debt expanded from $9.9 billion to $10.8 billion over the course of the last five quarters. Risk professionals who have telecom in their portfolios should keep their guard up.
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Our FRISK® score model incorporates four powerful risk inputs:
- “Merton”-type model of stock market capitalization and volatility
- Financial ratios, including those used in the Altman Z”-Score Model
- Bond agency ratings from Fitch, Moody's, and DBRS Morningstar
- Website click pattern data from CreditRiskMonitor® subscribers, representing key credit decision-makers at more than 35% of current Fortune 1000 companies plus thousands of other large companies worldwide
Since the start of 2017, the FRISK® score’s rate of success in capturing public company bankruptcy is 96%. In any given year, you can count on one hand the times we miss – and in those outlier cases, the circumstances deal with unusual, unforeseen events such as natural disasters and CEO fraud.
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About High Risk Reports
Our High Risk Reports feature companies that are exhibiting a significantly high level of financial distress, as indicated by our proprietary FRISK® score.
The reports highlight the factors that have pushed a company's score lower on the "1" (worst) to "10" (best) FRISK® score, which is 96% accurate in predicting bankruptcy over a 12-month period. The High Risk Reports also includes analysis on financial indicators such as the company’s DBT index, stock performance, financial ratios and how it is performing relative to its industry peers.
The ultimate goal of the High Risk Report series is two-part: provide an early warning for those doing business with an increasingly distressed company and inform of the many signals that should be examined when assessing financial risks.